Management’s Discussion & Analysis
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MD&A Index
BMO’s President & Chief Executive Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer have signed a statement outlining management’s responsibility for financial information in this Annual Report. The statement also explains the roles of the Audit Committee and Board of Directors in respect of financial information in the Annual Report.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) comments on BMO’s operations and financial condition for the years ended October 31, 2008 and 2007. The MD&A should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements for the year ended October 31, 2008. The MD&A commentary is as of November 25, 2008, except for peer group comparisons, which are as of December 5, 2008. Unless otherwise indicated, all amounts are in Canadian dollars and have been derived from financial statements prepared in accordance with Canadian generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
Certain prior year data has been reclassified to conform with the current year’s presentation, including reclassifications arising from transfers of certain businesses between operating groups.
Who We Are
provides an overview of BMO Financial Group, explains the links between our objectives and our overall vision and presents key performance data to help answer the question “Why invest in BMO?”
Financial Performance and Condition at a Glance
provides a snapshot of our results on 11 key financial performance and condition measures used by management to monitor performance relative to our peer groups.
Enterprise-Wide Strategy
outlines our enterprise-wide strategy and the context in which it is developed, as well as our progress in relation to our strategic priorities.
Caution Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
warns readers about the limitations and inherent risks and uncertainties of forward-looking information.
Factors That May Affect Future Results
outlines certain industry and company-specific factors that investors should consider when assessing BMO’s earnings prospects.
Economic Developments
includes commentary on the impact of economic developments on our businesses in 2008 and expectations for the Canadian and U.S. economies in 2009.
Value Measures
reviews financial performance on the four key measures that assess or most directly influence shareholder return.
- Total Shareholder Return
- Earnings per Share Growth
- Return on Equity
- Net Economic Profit Growth
2008 Financial Performance Review
provides a detailed review of BMO’s consolidated financial performance by major income statement category. It also includes a summary of notable items affecting results and the impacts of business acquisitions and sales and changes in foreign exchange rates.
Operating Group Review
outlines the visions and strategies of our operating groups, the paths they choose to differentiate their businesses and the major business risks they face, along with their strengths, competencies and key value drivers. It also includes a summary of their achievements in 2008, their priorities for 2009 and a review of their financial performance for the year.
- Summary
- Personal and Commercial Banking
- Personal and Commercial Banking Canada
- Personal and Commercial Banking U.S.
- Private Client Group
- BMO Capital Markets
- Corporate Services, including Technology and Operations
Financial Condition Review
discusses our assets and liabilities by major balance sheet category. It reviews our capital adequacy and our approach to ensuring we optimize our capital position to support our business strategies and maximize returns to our shareholders. It also discusses off-balance sheet arrangements and financial instruments.
- Summary Balance Sheet
- Enterprise-Wide Capital Management
- Financial Instruments in the Difficult Credit Environment
- Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Accounting Matters and Disclosure and Internal Control
reviews critical accounting estimates and changes in accounting policies in 2008 and for future periods. It also discusses our evaluation of disclosure controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting.
- Critical Accounting Estimates
- Changes in Accounting Policies in 2008
- Future Changes in Accounting Policies
- Disclosure Controls and Procedures and Internal Control over Financial Reporting
- Pre-Approval of Shareholders’ Auditors’ Services and Fees
Enterprise-Wide Risk Management
outlines our approach to managing the key financial risks and other related risks we face.
Non-GAAP Measures
includes explanations of non-GAAP measures and their reconciliation to their GAAP counterparts.
Review of Fourth Quarter Performance, Quarterly Earnings Trends and 2007 Financial Performance Review
provide commentary on results for relevant periods other than fiscal 2008.
Supplemental Information
presents many useful financial tables and provides more historical detail.
Regulatory Filings
Our continuous disclosure materials, including our interim filings, annual MD&A, audited consolidated financial statements, Annual Information Form and Notice of Annual Meeting of Shareholders & Proxy Circular, are available on our web site at www.bmo.com, on the Canadian Securities Administrators’ web site at www.sedar.com and on the EDGAR section of the SEC’s web site at www.sec.gov. BMO’s President and Chief Executive Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer each certify the appropriateness and fairness of BMO’s annual and interim consolidated financial statements and MD&A and Annual Information Form, and the effectiveness of BMO’s disclosure controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting.
Caution Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Bank of Montreal’s public communications often include written or oral forward-looking statements. Statements of this type are included in this Annual Report, and may be included in other filings with Canadian securities regulators or the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, or in other communications. All such statements are made pursuant to the “safe harbor” provisions of, and are intended to be forward-looking statements under, the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and any applicable Canadian securities legislation. Forward-looking statements may involve, but are not limited to, comments with respect to our objectives and priorities for 2009 and beyond, our strategies or future actions, our targets, expectations for our financial condition or share price, and the results of or outlook for our operations or for the Canadian and U.S. economies.
By their nature, forward-looking statements require us to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. There is significant risk that predictions, forecasts, conclusions or projections will not prove to be accurate, that our assumptions may not be correct and that actual results may differ materially from such predictions, forecasts, conclusions or projections. We caution readers of this Annual Report not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements as a number of factors could cause actual future results, conditions, actions or events to differ materially from the targets, expectations, estimates or intentions expressed in the forward-looking statements.
The future outcomes that relate to forward-looking statements may be influenced by many factors, including but not limited to: general economic and market conditions in the countries in which we operate; weak capital and/or credit markets; interest rate and currency value fluctuations; changes in monetary policy; the degree of competition in the geographic and business areas in which we operate; changes in laws; judicial or regulatory proceedings; the accuracy and completeness of the information we obtain with respect to our customers and counterparties; our ability to execute our strategic plans and to complete and integrate acquisitions; critical accounting estimates; operational and infrastructure risks; general political conditions; global capital markets activities; the possible effects on our business of war or terrorist activities; disease or illness that impacts on local, national or international economies; disruptions to public infrastructure, such as transportation, communications, power or water supply; and technological changes.
We caution that the foregoing list is not exhaustive of all possible factors. Other factors could adversely affect our results. For more information, please see the discussion below, which outlines in detail certain key factors that may affect Bank of Montreal’s future results. When relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions with respect to Bank of Montreal, investors and others should carefully consider these factors, as well as other uncertainties and potential events, and the inherent uncertainty of forward-looking statements. Bank of Montreal does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, that may be made, from time to time, by the organization or on its behalf, except as required by law. The forward-looking information contained in this document is presented for the purpose of assisting our shareholders in understanding our financial position as at and for the periods ended on the dates presented and our strategic priorities and objectives, and may not be appropriate for other purposes.
Assumptions about the level of asset sales, expected asset sale prices, net funding cost, credit quality and risk of default and losses on default of the underlying assets of the structured investment vehicles were material factors we considered when establishing our expectations regarding the structured investment vehicles discussed in this document, including the amount to be drawn under the BMO liquidity facilities, whether consolidation will be required and the expectation that the first-loss protection provided by the subordinate capital notes will exceed future losses. Key assumptions included that assets would continue to be sold with a view to reducing the size of the structured investment vehicles, under various asset price scenarios, and that the level of defaults and losses will be consistent with the credit quality of the underlying assets and our current expectations regarding continuing difficult market conditions.
Assumptions about the level of defaults and losses on defaults were material factors we considered when establishing our expectation of the future performance of the transactions that Apex Trust has entered into. Key assumptions included that the level of defaults and losses on defaults would be consistent with historical experience. Material factors that were taken into account when establishing our expectations of the future risk of credit losses in Apex Trust included industry diversification in the portfolio, initial credit quality by portfolio and the first-loss protection incorporated into the structure.
Assumptions about the performance of the Canadian and U.S. economies in 2009 and how that will affect our businesses were material factors we considered when setting our strategic priorities and objectives, and our outlook for our businesses. Key assumptions included that the Canadian and the U.S. economies will contract in the first half of 2009, and that interest rates and inflation will remain low. We also assumed that housing markets in Canada will weaken in 2009 and strengthen in the second half of the year in the United States. We assumed that capital markets will improve somewhat in the second half of 2009 and that the Canadian dollar will strengthen modestly relative to the U.S. dollar. In determining our expectations for economic growth, both broadly and in the financial services sector, we primarily consider historical economic data provided by the Canadian and U.S. governments and their agencies. Tax laws in the countries in which we operate, primarily Canada and the United States, are material factors we consider when determining our sustainable effective tax rate.