Remarks by Tony Comper, Chairman and CEO, BMO Financial Group at
National Bank Financial Canadian Bank CEO Conference
Montreal, QC,
April 9, 2003
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check against delivery)
Title
Slide
Thank you Rob, and hello everyone. What I would like to do in our short
time together is provide my own perspective on the factors that give
me a high degree of confidence in the future profitability of BMO Financial
Group.
Since
I can't hope to cover every aspect, I would like to take a closer look
at our personal and commercial operations to give you a feel for the
operating leverage we anticipate in these core businesses.
Let me begin by
saying that my confidence in BMO's prospects is deeply rooted in the
progress we have made along two parallel tracks since 1999.
Slide 1
The first track is focused execution of our transnational growth strategy
to invest in our Canadian franchise - which is our enduring, primary
strength - while expanding in the U.S., where we are at the forefront
of the drive by Canada's banks to operate transnationally.
I have talked a
lot in the past about the enviable position BMO enjoys in the North
American economic space as a Canadian-headquartered, Canada-U.S. bank
with the largest U.S. asset base of any Canadian bank (at $82 billion)
- and the highest quality assets built on the foundation of a
strong retail platform in Chicago.
I won't revisit
this familiar territory except to remind you that we have almost two
decades of on-the-ground experience in making the adaptations necessary
to create and grow a successful retail bank network in the United States
today. The lessons we have learned about how to manage as effectively
north-to-south as we do east-to-west put us considerably ahead of the
curve as a fully functioning Canada-U.S. enterprise.
Slide 2
The other parallel track we have followed since 1999 - the transformation
of our business mix to ensure the most efficient deployment of our capital
and other resources - also puts us ahead of the curve in our Canadian
peer group.
Shortly after I
moved into my current position, I told the investor community that we
were clearly focused on improving BMO's profitability and would shift
resources from unprofitable, low-profit and low-potential businesses
to those with greater prospects for high returns.
And this is exactly
what we have done. Since 1999, we have divested our Bancomer investment
in Mexico; we have exited the global custody business, the corporate
trust business, and our U.S. credit card joint venture; and we have
sold 84 slower-growth branches.
These divestitures
produced a running-rate shortfall of $284 million in annual revenues
and, since revenue hits are immediate while the impact of strategic
redeployment comes later, we experienced considerable downward pressure
on earnings.
Since 1999, we have
also decreased risk-weighted assets in the Investment Banking Group
by more than $29 billion by exiting lower-profit corporate lending relationships.
This very significant repositioning resulted in an additional running-rate
revenue shortfall this year estimated at about $350 to 400 million.
Overall, therefore,
our strategic repositioning for a more profitable future produced a
running rate revenue shortfall of at least $634 million a year.
While the repositioning
has dampened revenue growth over the past several years, the good news
is that, as 2002 drew to a close, our ongoing efforts were starting
to pay off.
Slide 3
BMO vaulted up several positions in most performance measures in the
2002 Canadian bank scorecard, leaping to second from sixth in the key
measure of cash earnings-per-share growth.
In the first quarter
of 2003, perhaps the most encouraging result was BMO's solid out-performance
in revenue growth. At a time when revenues among our Canadian competitors
declined by an average of 2.5 per cent, BMO revenues grew by 5.1 per
cent.
Slide 4
Our Canadian and U.S. personal and commercial operations drove first-quarter
growth, with revenues climbing seven per cent, productivity improving
by 190 basis points, and net income rising 18 per cent from the same
period last year.
First-quarter performance
gets even stronger when viewed from a relative perspective. We outperformed
our Canadian peers in revenue growth, net income growth, change in net
interest margin, and balance sheet growth, both loans and deposits.
We believe these
core businesses will support continued solid performance for BMO as
our more market-sensitive businesses await the lift that will come with
a sustained market turnaround.
Slide 5
Let's look at our Canadian personal and commercial operations headed
by Rob Pearce, where we have led our Canadian peers in revenue growth
for the past two quarters while implementing an aggressive yet exceedingly
disciplined strategy designed to drive revenues higher.
Last quarter alone,
significant volume growth and improving spreads produced a revenue increase
of 7.4 per cent over the prior year while revenue for our competitors
was relatively flat. In combination with continued productivity improvement,
this revenue growth produced a net income increase of 15 per cent.
Notable ongoing
competitive advantages include our well-known top-tier credit quality
and, of course, small business banking, where we continue to close in
on our target to be #1 in market share for loans up to $5 million.
Slide 6
We anticipate that a revenue lift will come with improvement in the
economy, rising interest rates and a macro environment in which the
forecasted demand for our retail products and services will exceed the
growth in real GDP by at least 200 basis points.
In addition, operating
leverage will flow from the major investments we have made over the
past couple of years to provide our people with the tools and processes
they need to meet customer needs, increase sales and contain costs.
While there is lots
of room for further improvement, our customer satisfaction scores indicate
that we are headed in the right direction. In the personal banking arena,
for example, the Secure Customer Index increased four percentage points
from 2000 to 2002 while the Employee Professionalism Index jumped eight
percentage points.
A key sales and
service initiative is, of course, our leading-edge Pathway Connect technology
platform, which I have described in previous presentations. Rollout
of Pathway is now complete, and its capabilities are being further enhanced
by the addition of our customer relationship management software, Optimizer.
Rollout of Optimizer, which provides our sales and service people with
an integrated view of each customer relationship that is consistent
across all customer access channels, is scheduled for completion in
2004.
Other significant
initiatives are also underway to provide a crucial common foundation
to drive operational excellence. These initiatives include the streamlining
of layers of management, the standardization of processes for business
planning and work flow, and the implementation of sales management best
practices such as defining job descriptions in terms of revenue-generating
activities and linking incentive compensation to sales generation.
We expect that,
over time, business results for our Canadian personal and commercial
operations will reflect the increased sales capacity we are creating
through all these national initiatives.
Slide 7
The growth story is even more positive in U.S. retail and business banking
led by Frank Techar. Here's a quick look at the growth in 2002 and in
the first quarter of 2003, where volumes and market share are showing
strong momentum. You'll note that in the first quarter loans were up
27 per cent from a year ago with deposits growing nine per cent. Overall,
earnings grew 68 per cent in the first quarter on the heels of 70 per
cent earnings growth in 2002.
With major U.S.
banks now targeting Chicagoland, our competitive advantages include
the well-entrenched, very well located Harris distribution network;
the excellent reputation of the Harris brand in the local market; and
our high scores in customer satisfaction, which is of course an ongoing
priority.
In 2002, Harris
scored 500 basis points above the competition for very satisfied personal
banking customers and 1100 basis points higher than large competitors
for very satisfied small business customers. As we already rank second
in both micro and small business market share, our customer satisfaction
scores indicate the momentum to become #1.
In addition, our
strong deposit funding base of $13 billion USD and low loan-to-deposit
ratio of 72 per cent position us well to fund increased lending efficiently
in an improved economic environment.
All of these strengths
represent good opportunities for operating leverage, as do the expansion
plans now well under way to add 50 branches to Harris Bank's 145-branch
distribution network.
To provide more
insight into the leverage we anticipate in our opportunity-rich U.S.
retail and business banking operations, let me provide three concrete
examples.
Slide 8
The first is the high-potential micro business market, which encompasses
firms with less than $500,000 USD in annual revenues - though I must
say the nomenclature doesn't begin to express the vast potential of
this market segment. Businesses of this size comprise approximately
80 per cent of all companies in Chicagoland and have proven to be a
profitable market for a wide range of banking products and services.
There are more than
350,000 micro businesses within a three-mile radius of our existing
branch network - an important statistic given what we know about the
reliance of micro business owners on physical proximity and personal
service.
Over the past year,
we have rolled out a new micro business strategy to two-thirds of Chicagoland
locations, introducing innovative products and specialized services
tailored to the specific needs of this market.
Early results indicate
a 49 per cent increase in micro business deposit accounts and a 340
per cent increase in micro business loans in the first five months of
this year over the same period last year. We are moving quickly to leverage
this demonstrated potential with rollout of the strategy to all Chicagoland
locations slated for completion by year-end.
Slide 9
My second example is indirect auto lending, a cyclical business that
is fraught with risk for those who don't understand it the way we most
assuredly do after more than 30 years of experience. Our proven local
business model is based on good relationships with dealers who appreciate
consistent market presence and quick service for A paper, and does not
include leasing or the financing of dealer floor plans.
By expanding our
proven business model to nearby Midwestern states, we have increased
sales by more than 40 per cent in each of the last two years to $2.2
billion USD while increasing yields and reducing risk.
The outsourcing
of data entry and automation of a large proportion of the deal flow
should allow us to continue expanding this business for the foreseeable
future as we move into more states.
Slide 10
My third example, our sales management process, suggests real potential
for sustained operating leverage improvements because in this case we
can keep on raising the bar.
A key element of
the sales management process is recognizing and rewarding bankers based
upon their contribution to profitability. With the help of this process,
we have boosted home equity loans by 32 per cent so far this year compared
to the same period last year while also increasing business loans by
10 per cent and consumer deposits by 11 per cent.
Let me explain how
this process works. Each product is assigned points based on its profitability,
and employees earn points based on sales of each product. As a result
of this system, average monthly points per FTE had increased 12 per
cent to 2,380 year over year by the end of February.
Notably, since we
introduced this process in October 2002 at Harris Bank Joliet, monthly
sales points per FTE at this recent acquisition have climbed steadily
to 1,543 from 545 - a 183 per cent increase in five months - with more
improvement expected. We anticipate that this sales management process
will also prove effective in quickly boosting sales after future acquisitions.
Slide 11
In concluding my U.S. retail and business banking story today, I thought
it might help with apples-to-apples comparisons to provide a complete
picture of BMO's retail and business banking operations in the U.S.
by combining our Chicagoland and Harris Nesbitt mid-market operations.
As you know, some
of our Canadian and U.S. competitors include their mid-market commercial
businesses in their retail and business banking financials. On the other
hand, we report our U.S. mid-market results as part of the Investment
Banking Group in order to align reporting with how we manage these businesses
- which we have integrated in order to streamline management and leverage
expertise and product capability across Harris Nesbitt and our corporate
and investment banking operations.
However, at a time
when the enduring strength of retail and business banking has never
been more obvious, I thought you might be interested in seeing just
how large a proportion of our U.S. earnings derive from our mid-market
businesses, which produce stable revenues as a result of good spreads
and ongoing cash management fees.
This slide shows
that the addition of our Harris Nesbitt mid-market lending and cash
management businesses to the Chicagoland numbers in effect triples net
income from our U.S. retail and business banking results for 2002 while
the productivity ratio improves to about 60 per cent from 77.7 per cent.
From this perspective,
U.S. net income from retail and business banking in 2002 increases to
about 60 per cent from about 20 per cent.
Slide 12
While on the subject of interpreting our results, I'd like to provide
my own perspective on why we took the opportunity to reclassify some
of our businesses when we introduced a new system to improve how we
price our products in the U.S. marketplace last quarter. This represented
nothing less than our critical next step in managing our U.S. franchise
as an integrated part of our transnational enterprise.
(By the way, I hope
it was clear that we reclassified our numbers as distinct from restating
them - i.e., the overall numbers remained precisely the same.)
When we introduced
the new transfer pricing system, we also centralized all trading activities
in the Investment Banking Group and centralized reporting of all treasury
activities in Corporate Support. In much the same way that the centralization
of risk management last year ensured consistent risk management best
practices across the enterprise, the centralization of trading and treasury
ensures the best possible returns from these specialized activities.
The reclassification
also makes it easier for management and investors alike to hold business
leaders accountable for growing their businesses and managing the associated
expenses separate and apart from the ups and downs of trading and treasury;
makes it easier to track the impact of recent and future acquisitions;
and furthers our industry leadership in transparent financial disclosure.
Slide 13
Let's turn now to our Private Client Group, the focus of our U.S. strategic
expansion over the past few years.
I spoke in some
detail last year about the investment of $1.4 billion in nine U.S. wealth
management acquisitions since 1999 as part of our strategy to create
an integrated wealth management distribution platform in the U.S. This
platform in about 20 locations with rich potential for profitable growth
is now largely complete, integrated, and poised to take off with any
sustained market turnaround.
Furthermore, in
light of TD's announcement last week of its large goodwill write-down,
I would like to point out that, at BMO, we are comfortable with the
level of goodwill on our books. We review goodwill for impairment on
a regular basis for each reporting unit, including the client investing
unit, and the book value remains appropriate as it is exceeded by market
value. Also, as markets weakened following the acquisitions, we revised
our business model to achieve greater cost efficiencies and believe
we are well positioned for growth when conditions improve.
Perhaps the most
significant indicator of pent-up potential in wealth management is assets
under management and administration, which increased 13 per cent year-over-year
in the first quarter to $279 billion. If you exclude the impact of acquisitions,
assets declined a modest three per cent at a time when the TSX declined
14 per cent and the S&P 500 declined 23 per cent.
Slide 14
Our Investment Banking Group is also well positioned for growth as soon
as market and economic conditions improve and our mid-market clients
start to make capital investments again.
Looking further
ahead, the surest indicator of leverage is our progress in decreasing
volatility while increasing profitability, which continues to be the
primary focus of this group. Having decreased lower-profit risk-weighted
assets by $29 billion since 1999 with another $7 billion to go as commitments
come up for renewal in the years to come, we are well ahead of the peer
group curve in this important respect.
When we have finished
exiting low-profit lending relationships, our plan is to maintain a
stable level of risk-weighted assets while investing additional capital
in our personal, commercial and individual investing businesses. Over
time, therefore, a smaller percentage of total capital will be invested
in IBG businesses - approximately 30 to 33 per cent compared to 44 per
cent today.
Slide 15
Last week, we announced a definitive agreement to acquire (subject to
regulatory approval) Gerard Klauer Mattison, a New York-based equity
research, sales, trading and investment banking boutique.
This modest transaction,
which is structured as a 100 per cent share swap valued at approximately
$30 million USD, has a nominal cash EPS impact and very comfortably
meets our internal rate of return investment objective of 15 per cent.
It is a first step in building a solid equity distribution capability
in the U.S. that will match our outstanding Canadian equity franchise.
Rounding out our
North American corporate and investment banking product offering and
capability, the new platform will benefit our Canadian clients while
accelerating U.S. growth and strengthening the BMO Nesbitt Burns franchise.
Under the Harris
Nesbitt Gerard brand, it will provide individual investing clients in
Canada with the research capability needed to invest in U.S. companies;
provide Canadian issuing clients with U.S. research and distribution;
and provide equity research, sales and trading services for more than
1,500 mid-market clients served by Harris Nesbitt and our Media &
Communications and Energy teams - in addition to the 650 institutional
relationships this acquisition brings to the equation.
Consistent with
our recent practice of buying high-quality U.S. properties that are
an excellent strategic fit at very attractive prices, the purchase price
equals 2.4 times book value and 0.3 times revenue compared to a median
for comparable transactions of 2.9 and 1.2 respectively.
Slide 16
Our acquisition activity will continue to focus on the U.S., where it
is our intention to grow at an even faster pace. We are on the lookout
for properties that will strengthen our existing solid platforms, are
easily digestible (roughly in the price range established so far), make
a good strategic and cultural fit, and are shareholder friendly.
Our top priority
is retail and business banking, and a six-person acquisition team led
by Frank Techar is aggressively scouting for properties in Chicagoland,
Illinois and contiguous states. As I said, we are committed to adding
about 50 branches to the Harris Bank network, with 11 new branches on
track for this year.
Given that our wealth
management platform is largely complete, acquisition activity in this
group will focus on "in-fill" of this platform through select
properties that complement our serious investor client profile and strengthen
our presence in existing high-growth locations.
Slide 17
Turning now to credit risk management, let me just say that we continue
to be a leader in this fundamental core competency.
As the credit picture
brightened last quarter, we reported that our annual provision for credit
losses was estimated to be at least $120 million lower than the annual
target of $820 million we announced following the fourth quarter. We
stand by this outlook - with the proviso, of course, that a protracted
war in Iraq would likely necessitate revised estimates from the entire
industry.
Apart from that
one note of caution, with new impaired loan formations at their lowest
level in several years, we expect to demonstrate BMO's credit quality
advantage in 2003 - as we did in 2002 and over the preceding decade.
Slide 18
In February we reaffirmed our other financial targets for the year,
anticipating that lower-than-expected provisions for credit losses would
offset softer-than-expected economic growth. We continue to stand by
these targets.
Furthermore, I made
it abundantly clear as the year began that BMO's #1 priority this year
is productivity improvement, and I want to restate that commitment today.
BMO has been above
average within our Canadian peer group at containing organic expenses
for the past five years.
However, as the
U.S. economy continues to present challenges for market-sensitive businesses,
costs associated with our acquisitions have had an impact on the cost
side of our productivity ratio while the major strategic repositioning
I mentioned at the outset, which produced an annual revenue shortfall
of at least $634 million, has presented a special challenge on the revenue
side.
In response, we
have implemented expense reduction plans in every unit of the enterprise
while addressing revenue growth through our transnational growth strategy
in conjunction with a series of multi-year, enterprise-wide performance-enhancement
initiatives. And we are continuing to pursue productivity improvement
with utmost focus and determination.
Slide 19
Overall, we are generating solid returns for shareholders. January marked
our 11th dividend increase in as many years, and we announced a 10 per
cent increase in the quarterly common share dividend. Underscoring continued
confidence in our strategy, we also increased the dividend payout goal
to between 35 and 45 per cent of income.
Slide 20
For the 12 months ending January 31, 2003, the total return to BMO shareholders
was 18.4 per cent, the best return of Canada's major banks. In the first
quarter of 2003, shareholders earned a return of 9.2 per cent on their
investment in common shares, above the peer group average. And the above-average
trend is continuing despite recent market and political realities. As
of March 31st, BMO's one-year total shareholder return was 7.15 per
cent while our peers averaged negative 4.2 per cent.
Slide 21
In conclusion, let me just say that the situation regarding domestic
bank mergers does not dampen my enthusiasm about BMO's future. And the
reason is simply this: We don't need a merger to succeed, not with our
enviable transnational assets, transformed business mix and terrific
growth strategy, all of which are starting to produce the desired results.
Whether a merger
does or does not become part of our future, we will remain firmly and
resolutely committed to ongoing broad investment in our Canadian businesses
as we continue to support knowledge-industry jobs in communities across
Canada. And we will remain firmly and resolutely committed to ongoing,
focused investment in the U.S. - as evidenced by last week's acquisition.
If and when a merger
becomes feasible from our perspective, we will only consider partnerships
that would be shareholder friendly, consistent with our vision and corporate
values, and provide the resources and capital strength to speed up execution
of our strategy.
Either way, we will
continue along the transnational route we have chosen, pulling all the
right levers to deliver above-average returns.
We are poised for
success, in other words, whatever the future holds.
Slide 22
I want to thank you for your attention, and I look forward to your questions.